Good morning!

It’s Friday, June 27.

Just a week ago, we were writing to you from the heart of Midsummer celebrations. Now, as the last flower crowns have wilted and the maypoles have been quietly taken down, we reach the final edition of The Old Country before the traditional summer break.

In Sweden, it is time for the semi-collective semester. A collective exhale where newsrooms thin out, inboxes quiet down, and the country briefly shifts its attention from headlines to lake houses, ferries, and the eternal question of whether the grill should already be lit.

And, of course, to the World Cup.

Until we return, we wish you long evenings, slow mornings, and at least one perfectly unnecessary fika.

Ha en underbar helg – och sommar!

Phil

Word of the week

EFTERTÄNKSAM [EF-ter-TENG-sam]

thoughtful; reflective.

France or Norway Likely Await Sweden as World Cup Knockout Stage Begins

Sweden is through to the Round of 32 at the FIFA World Cup, but the reward is unlikely to be an easy path forward. The most probable next opponents are either France or Norway, setting up a high-stakes showdown against one of Europe’s strongest teams.

Sweden secured its place in the knockout stage after drawing with Japan in a game that started at 1 am local time, guaranteeing advancement as one of the tournament’s best third-place teams. But while the result extended Sweden’s World Cup campaign, it also left the team dependent on a complicated bracket that appears set to produce a daunting next opponent.

According to tournament projections, Sweden has roughly a 71 percent chance of facing the winner of Group I, where France and Norway are battling for first place. France enters that contest as the favorite thanks to a superior goal difference, meaning Kylian Mbappé’s side currently represents the most likely opponent. Norway, led by Erling Haaland, remains a possibility if it can win the group.

There is also a smaller chance that Sweden will draw Germany, with projections placing that outcome at just under 28 percent. More distant scenarios involving Switzerland, Mexico, or the United States remain mathematically possible but highly unlikely.

The uncertainty has already sparked debate among Swedish football analysts. SVT expert Bojan Djordjic said he would prefer a matchup with Norway, while former referee Jonas Eriksson argued that Germany may actually be the more attractive draw after a shaky finish to the group stage.

Whoever emerges from the calculations, one thing is certain: Sweden’s path through the knockout rounds will begin against elite opposition. For a team that entered the tournament as an outsider, the real challenge is only just beginning.

Postcard from the North

Fjällbacka

In other news

🎬 SVT reports that a new “modern” animated adaptation of Pippi Långstrump is in development, described by the producers as a fresh and updated version of the classic character. The series is planned to begin production in October and is being developed by companies including Heyday Films, Studiocanal, and Astrid Lindgren AB, with the aim of reaching a global audience of new children. The project is part of a broader effort to expand Pippi into new formats, including additional film adaptations.

⚽ A Swedish couple, Herman Dyberg and Caroline Anker, unexpectedly went viral after being shown on TV for a few seconds during Sweden’s World Cup match against the Netherlands. A social media account with millions of followers jokingly compared them to a famous “Coldplay concert” cheating scandal, causing many people to falsely assume they were having an affair. The couple found the situation absurd and humorous, but Dyberg also criticized the lack of fact-checking that allowed the rumor to spread so quickly online.

📊 A new Verian poll for SVT shows that confidence in Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson has declined, while Social Democratic leader Magdalena Andersson has strengthened her lead as the politician Swedes trust most. Kristersson’s support fell compared with the previous measurement, whereas Andersson increased her advantage and remains the clear frontrunner in the confidence rankings. The results come as the parties prepare for the 2026 election campaign, where leadership and voter trust are expected to be key issues.

Crime, Cost of Living and Coalition Math Dominate Sweden’s Almedalen Week

With less than three months until Sweden heads to the polls, this week’s Almedalen political festival made one thing clear: every major party is now firmly in campaign mode, competing over voters' wallets, public safety, and who can credibly govern after Election Day.

The annual gathering in Visby officially kicked off on June 22 with youth political debates before party leaders took over the main stage throughout the week. While each party tried to put its own stamp on the campaign, familiar themes quickly emerged. Crime, the economy, schools, healthcare, energy policy, and defense dominated speeches, underscoring the issues expected to define the September election.

The governing coalition focused heavily on tax relief and security. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson unveiled plans for a new tax cut aimed at working families with children, arguing that employment should be rewarded and household finances strengthened. His government also defended its economic record, insisting Sweden's recovery is gaining momentum despite global uncertainty.

The opposition countered with its own economic message. Social Democratic leader Magdalena Andersson promised a "small school reform," including smaller class sizes in primary schools, while renewing pledges to abolish the waiting-day sick pay deduction, increase child benefits, and invest in green technology and artificial intelligence.

Beyond the policy proposals, coalition politics remained a constant undercurrent. Analysts repeatedly pointed to the difficult balancing acts facing both political blocs, particularly over issues such as nuclear power, fiscal policy, and the composition of any future governing coalition.

With opinion polls still favoring the opposition but neither side guaranteed a majority, Almedalen offered less in the way of dramatic surprises than strategic positioning. As the festival draws to a close, Sweden's election campaign has entered its next phase, with parties now shifting from broad messages in Visby to the far harder task of persuading voters across the country.

Swede-ish Notes

The Man Who Never Quite Went Away

For many Swedes, the name Jonas Falk feels like a relic from another era. His story stretches back through the bank robberies of the 1990s, the spectacular police investigations of the 2000s, and the infamous Operation Playa case, which at one point was described as Sweden's largest narcotics investigation. He was convicted, acquitted, pursued again, and became one of those rare figures who seemed to exist somewhere between criminal, celebrity, and myth.

Now, he is back in the headlines once more.

This week Falk was charged with four counts of exceptionally serious narcotics offences. Prosecutors allege that the case involves more than 2.5 tonnes of cocaine moved through parts of Europe and South America, with evidence reportedly drawn in part from encrypted communications. Falk denies the allegations.

What makes the Falk story so fascinating is not simply the accusations themselves. Sweden has sadly become accustomed to organized crime. Rather, it is that Falk's name has followed the country for so long that it almost mirrors Sweden's own changing relationship with criminality.

In the 1990s, notorious criminals were often seen as isolated figures operating on society's fringes. Today, discussions revolve around transnational networks, encrypted messaging platforms, billion-dollar drug markets, and the ability of organized crime to operate across continents. Falk's career, if one can call it that, spans that entire transformation.

Whether he is ultimately convicted or acquitted in this latest case remains for the courts to decide. But there is something remarkable about the fact that, decades after first becoming known to the public, Jonas Falk still manages to tell us something about the criminal underworld itself.

Do you have a story from the past that could be worth sharing? Or would you like to leave a suggestion? Please reach out!